Analysis

Analysis offers a new angle on a contemporary or historical issue. These articles are policy-oriented and cover current developments around the globe that impinge upon American foreign policy and national security priorities.

Navigating Turbulent Waters: Does Zimbabwe Have a Future?

Zimbabwe, once hailed as the breadbasket of Africa, is now grappling with profound political and economic challenges. Recent efforts by President Emmerson Mnangagwa to reset relations with the United States and the internal political rift that seems to be...

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The Return to Strategic Ambiguity: Assessing Trump’s Taiwan Stance

Would the United States come to the defense of Taiwan if the People’s Republic of China (PRC) invaded? Would the US Navy break a PRC blockade of Taiwan? How would the US military respond to a limited missile strike...

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A New Office of Strategic Services?

Introduction In the past six months, two different opinion pieces, here and here, have raised the possibility of reviving the Office of Strategic Services (OSS). These recommendations are by no means new. Over the past 80 years, there have...

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LEO Wars: China’s Orbital Challenge to the US-Led Digital Order

Executive Summary China’s rapid advancement in low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite internet technology represents a direct challenge to global US operations, communications infrastructure, and the free flow of information. Leveraging BeiDou’s Navigation Satellite System (BDS), Beijing’s Global Positioning System...

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How the UK-Mauritius Deal on Chagos Could Reshape US Military Strategy in the Indian Ocean

Introduction: The Context Diego Garcia, an atoll and one of the largest of the 52 islands in the middle of the Indian Ocean, is geographically part of the Chagos Archipelago — a British Indian Ocean Territory (BIOT), which is...

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Rare Earths and Global Rivalries: Burundi and the Reconfiguration of Strategic Supply Chains

On March 4, 2025, US President Donald Trump argued before Congress in favor of reducing the budget for USAID, the agency responsible for international development assistance. Illustrating his point, Trump singled out Lesotho, criticizing an $8 million allocation to...

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Green Energy in Southeast Asia: Why the US Should Invest More

Flowing from Tibet, the Lancang River goes through twelve Chinese megadams before reaching Laos as the Mekong River, a crucial freshwater source in Southeast Asia. A hydropower map from the Stimson Center shows 209 hydropower dams completed or under...

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Central Asian Presidents Meet, Seeking to Defuse Decades of Tensions in the Ferghana Valley

Introduction The Ferghana Valley has been the most restive area in Central Asia since the five Central Asian states became independent after the collapse of the Soviet Union in late 1991. Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan each have sections of...

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The US-South Africa Imbroglio, and Its Implications for US-Africa Relations

US-South Africa relations have been tense and difficult for several years, but with the advent of the Trump administration they have reached a critical juncture. The eventual outcome of this bilateral relationship is likely to impact US relationships with...

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The Trump Administration’s Pursuit of a Sino-Russian Schism

The pro-Russian tack taken by the Trump administration seems puzzling and even counterproductive to most Americans, to say nothing of our NATO allies and global partners. Recent polling shows a majority of Americans do not trust Putin, that there...

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