Analysis

Analysis offers a new angle on a contemporary or historical issue. These articles are policy-oriented and cover current developments around the globe that impinge upon American foreign policy and national security priorities.

Lessons from Burkina Faso’s Fight Against al-Qaeda and the Islamic State

Introduction Jihadist insurgencies in Burkina Faso began in 2016-2017 and have escalated dramatically since 2019. Between 2018 and 2024, jihadists killed more than 25,000 people. From 2022 to 2023, fatalities attributed to terrorism increased by 68 percent, making Burkina...

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The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: A Regional Destabilizer or a New Model for African Development?

On September 9, 2025, the government of Ethiopia officially inaugurated Africa’s largest dam, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). This massive project was under construction from 2011 to 2023 and was in the process of being filled for the...

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Europe Should Buy and Integrate APKWS Rockets For Drone Defense 

In the early morning hours on September 10, more than a dozen Russian target drones crossed into Polish airspace, before less than a dozen were shot down by Dutch F-35s. The infiltration sparked concerns about escalation between NATO and...

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Searching for Taiwan’s South China Sea Policy under Lai Ching-te

The multi-state dispute in the South China Sea has enveloped the region for decades, with no signs of abating. Much of the media attention on the region has recently focused on coercion and aggression conducted by the People’s Republic...

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Win-Win: The UK-Norwegian Type 26 Deal

The Norwegian government has made a landmark decision in its naval modernization strategy by choosing the United Kingdom as its key partner for the acquisition of new frigates. This is not just another procurement deal: It is the single...

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From Vouchers to Visas: China’s Innovative Plan for AI Dominance

Introduction While international attention often centers on China’s latest foundation models or its constrained access to high-end artificial intelligence (AI) chips, these headlines obscure the broader architecture of China’s AI strategy. China is pursuing a dual-track approach that combines...

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Conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: The Peace that Never Was

The June 27, 2025, signing of a Peace Agreement between the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and the Republic of Rwanda in Washington, DC and the Declaration of Principles, agreed to by representatives of the DRC government and...

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Atlantic Bastion: The Future of Submarine Warfare

Atlantic Bastion represents the Royal Navy’s future plan for anti-submarine capabilities, defending the North Atlantic against the threat from the Russian submarine fleet. First formally revealed in the United Kingdom’s recent Strategic Defence Review, the program brings in emerging...

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Narrative Intelligence: Decoding Iran’s Influence Campaigns in Iraq 

Executive Summary Historically, Tehran has enjoyed outsized influence over Iraqi policy through the entrenchment of its Axis of Resistance (AOR) proxies in Iraq’s governing institutions and security apparatus. However, simmering domestic tensions and broader regional setbacks have converged at...

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Baltic Training Grounds and NATO Forward Presence

One may occasionally hear statements about military defense that sound absurd, like a recent claim that “Lithuania is running out of space for its military.” How and why does this statement make sense, and what does it mean for...

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